A harmonised Auto-Fuel biofuel roadmap for the EU to 2030

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In 2020, biofuels alone could contribute over 8% of the 10% EU RED target, based on the current double counting rules.

  • In actual terms this would represent around 6% of road transport fuel by energy.
  • 20% of this could come from waste oils and fats and from the early advanced biofuels plants that are coming online.
  • Biofuel supply is expected to grow by about 15% overall compared to 2011 (about an additional 2 Mtoe).
  • Biofuels could contribute over 4% of the 6% FQD GHG emissions savings target.

In 2030, biofuels could contribute between 12 to 15% of transport energy, with over 10% going to road transport.

  • Biofuel supply in road transport could go from 15 Mtoe in 2020 to 27 Mtoe in 2020. A significant amount of which could be EU sourced
  • Diesel substitutes could displace over 10% of fossil diesel by energy. 2/3 of the increase between 2020 and 2030 could be derived from waste oils and fats and lignocellulosic material (c. 4 out of 6 Mtoe)
  • Gasoline substitutes could displace over 12% of fossil gasoline by energy. 2/5 of the increase between 2020 and 2030 could be derived from lignocellulosic material (c. 2 out of 5 Mtoe)
  • Advanced biofuels could represent up to 20% of diesel and gasoline substitutes. But contribution could be higher.
  • Between now and 2030 over 1/2 of the growth in biofuels can come from lignocellulosic materials and waste oils and fats (and possibly new oil sources such as microbial oils)
  • The rest, less than 6 Mtoe depending on deployment of advanced biofuels, would need to come from sustainable sources of sugars, starches and oils, with low ILUC risk
E4Tech on behalf of Daimler, Honda, Neste, OMV, Shell and Volkswagen
(1.8 Mb)